View Full Version : New Year's Report

01-01-2009, 06:03 PM
Part of my joy in following the Pacers and the NBA lies in number-crunching analyses. A midseason view offers numerous details of potential interest to PD; some may be obvious, others not. (And some will leave various posters shouting, “See?! I TOLD you we should’ve gotten _____!”) I will share some comments based entirely on what the numbers imply in terms of overall value.

The Pacers
While TJ Ford is performing at an expected level (based on prior productivity) – a level similar to that of Jamaal Tinsley – Jarrett Jack’s productivity has slipped a little (not a lot). Jack’s current level of play suggests an annual salary of about $4.5 million. Troy Murphy is showing improvement, but it is Marquis Daniels who currently ranks as the third-most productive player (behind Danny Granger, of course, and Ford) on the team. Daniels’ current play is in line with his option-year salary of $7.35 million. Stephen Graham, too, has shown considerable improvement and while rookies Brandon Rush and Roy Hibbert both are “ahead of schedule,” Josh McRoberts shows promise as well and is currently “worth” about $2 million.

The league
Concerning former Pacers, Stephen Jackson and Al Harrington are performing at an expected level, Shawne Williams has not improved; Jermaine O’Neal is performing about like last year; and Ron Artest, Brad Miller and Kareem Rush have slipped at least a little bit. Players around the league who seem to be showing great improvement (or a return to prior form) include:
Atlanta – Mike Bibby
Dallas – Jason Terry and Jose Barea
Denver – Nene
Detroit – Rodney Stuckey
Golden State – Wow, talk about a changing of the guard … Andris Biedrins, Kelenna Azubuike, CJ Watson, Brandan Wright, and Marco Belinelli
Houston – Aaron Brooks
LA Clippers – Zach Randolph
LA Lakers – Trevor Ariza
Milwaukee – Luke Ridnour and Ramon Sessions
New Jersey – Devin Harris
New York Knicks – Chris Duhon and Wilson Chandler
Oklahoma City – Kevin Durant and Jeff Green
Portland – Brandon Roy
Sacramento – Spencer Hawes
San Antonio – Roger Mason and Matt Bonner
Utah – CJ Miles and Ronnie Price
Washington – Mike James

The rookies
A lot of productivity: Of the twelve selections prior to ours at #13 (after the trade), Danilo Gallinari has been injured and Jarryd Bayless is “incubating,” but only Milwaukee’s Joe Alexander suggests disappointing on-the-court productivity. Of the bigs (5s and 4-5s) taken, New Jersey’s Brook Lopez has been a cut above, and Philadelphia’s Marreese Speights has also stood out, but all are firmly “on the radar.” In fact, to date only Seattle’s Serge Ibaka has proven a truly questionable acquisition. From the second round, Miami’s Mario Chalmers has been the steal of the draft (although Golden State wins the “undrafted diamonds in the rough” prize). Milwaukee’s Luc Mbah a Moute has shown surprisingly well, too.

Sliders/Potential tradeables
Players whose value has slipped and who perhaps have also been mentioned in trade rumors (at one point or another) include:
Denver – Linas Kleiza
Detroit – Richard Hamilton
LA Clippers – Baron Davis and Chris Kaman
LA Lakers – Lamar Odom and Luke Walton
Miami – Shawn Marion and Mark Blount
Milwaukee – Andrew Bogut
New Jersey – Yi Jianlian, Josh Boone and Sean Williams
New Orleans – Tyson Chandler
New York Knicks – Tim Thomas
Oklahoma City – Desmond Mason
Philadelphia – Andre Iguodala and Samuel Dalembert
Phoenix – Jason Richardson and Leandro Barbosa
Portland – Channing Frye
Sacramento – Kevin Martin and Mikki Moore
San Antonio – Manu Ginobili and Bruce Bowen
Toronto – Anthony Parker
Washington – DeShawn Stevenson

01-01-2009, 06:42 PM
only Milwaukee’s Joe Alexander suggests disappointing on-the-court productivity.
Seems like somebody on the forum was advocating trading Granger to draft Joe Alexander. Croz, was that you?