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Grant
06-18-2004, 11:25 AM
What are the chances that these will happen? Answer one or all. Or add your own.

1) Ron Artest is traded
2) Al Harringotn is traded
3) Jonathan Bender is traded
4) Fred Jones is traded
5) Jamal Tinsley is traded

6) Reggie Miller Retires

7) Primo is drafted
8) JJ is drafted

9) Pacers move up in the draft

10) Tracy McGrady is acquired
11) Another SG is acquired through trade
12) Erik Dampier is acquired

Suaveness
06-18-2004, 11:28 AM
What are the chances that these will happen? Answer one or all. Or add your own.

1) Ron Artest is traded 50%
2) Al Harringotn is traded 100%
3) Jonathan Bender is traded 50%
4) Fred Jones is traded 10%
5) Jamal Tinsley is traded 0.5 %

6) Reggie Miller Retires 0%

7) Primo is drafted 50%
8) JJ is drafted 50%

9) Pacers move up in the draft 0%

10) Tracy McGrady is acquired 50%
11) Another SG is acquired through trade 15%
12) Erik Dampier is acquired 0%

bulletproof
06-18-2004, 11:45 AM
What are the chances that these will happen? Answer one or all. Or add your own.

1) Ron Artest is traded 80%
2) Al Harrington is traded 65%
3) Jonathan Bender is traded 80%
4) Fred Jones is traded 20%
5) Jamal Tinsley is traded 10%

6) Reggie Miller Retires 0%

7) Primo is drafted 80%
8) JJ is drafted 50%

9) Pacers move up in the draft 0%

10) Tracy McGrady is acquired 30%
11) Another SG is acquired through trade 70%
12) Erik Dampier is acquired 0%

Added:

13) Either Ron or Al will be traded 100%
14) Both will be traded 60%

DisplacedKnick
06-18-2004, 11:46 AM
What are the chances that these will happen? Answer one or all. Or add your own.

1) Ron Artest is traded
2) Al Harringotn is traded
3) Jonathan Bender is traded
4) Fred Jones is traded
5) Jamal Tinsley is traded

6) Reggie Miller Retires

7) Primo is drafted
8) JJ is drafted

9) Pacers move up in the draft

10) Tracy McGrady is acquired
11) Another SG is acquired through trade
12) Erik Dampier is acquired

1 - 5%
2 - 60%
3 - 30%
4 - 20%
5 - 10%
6 - 5%
7 - 1%
8 - .5% - I think AJ would be their pick
9 - 5%
10 - 15%
11 - 60%
12 - 10%

Grant
06-18-2004, 11:49 AM
I was going to go first but got that critical error. Grr...

1) Ron Artest is traded 10%
2) Al Harringotn is traded 60%
3) Jonathan Bender is traded 15%
4) Fred Jones is traded 15%
5) Jamal Tinsley is traded 2%

6) Reggie Miller Retires 5%

7) Primo is drafted 45%
8) JJ is drafted 35%

9) Pacers move up in the draft 20% (only a few spots)

10) Tracy McGrady is acquired 20%
11) Another SG is acquired through trade 50%
12) Erik Dampier is acquired 5%
13) Another Center is acquired through trade or MLE 60%

*EDIT* Wow, Displaced I didn't read your post until after I posted. Aside form the expansion draft, we were pretty similar. I think we will be in the minority though.

able
06-18-2004, 12:09 PM
1) Ron Artest is traded 80%
2) Al Harringotn is traded 80%
3) Jonathan Bender is traded 40%
4) Fred Jones is traded 20%
5) Jamal Tinsley is traded 5%

6) Reggie Miller Retires 0%

7) Primo is drafted 70%
8) JJ is drafted 30%

9) Pacers move up in the draft 0%

10) Tracy McGrady is acquired 25%
11) Another SG is acquired through trade 80%
12) Erik Dampier is acquired 0%

Unclebuck
06-18-2004, 12:10 PM
1) Ron Artest is traded 60% :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry:

2) Al Harrington is traded 60%

3) Jonathan Bender is traded 25%

4) Fred Jones is traded 15%

5) Jamal Tinsley is traded 8%

6) Reggie Miller Retires 5%

7) Primo is drafted 35%

8) JJ is drafted 40%

9) Pacers move up in the draft 5%

10) Tracy McGrady is acquired 45%

11) Another SG is acquired through trade 30%

12) Erik Dampier is acquired 10%


As painful as some of that was, it was still fun

LAPacer
06-18-2004, 12:29 PM
What are the chances that these will happen? Answer one or all. Or add your own.

1) Ron Artest is traded (90%)
2) Al Harringotn is traded (100%)
3) Jonathan Bender is traded (35%)
4) Fred Jones is traded (30%)
5) Jamal Tinsley is traded (1%)

6) Reggie Miller Retires (1%)

7) Primo is drafted (25%)
8) JJ is drafted (25%)

9) Pacers move up in the draft (30%)

10) Tracy McGrady is acquired (80%)
11) Another SG is acquired through trade (10%)
12) Erik Dampier is acquired (10%)
13) Dalembert aquired (1%) :)

SkipperZ
06-18-2004, 12:32 PM
What are the chances that these will happen? Answer one or all. Or add your own.

1) Ron Artest is traded 80%
2) Al Harrington is traded 65%
3) Jonathan Bender is traded 80%
4) Fred Jones is traded 20%
5) Jamal Tinsley is traded 10%

6) Reggie Miller Retires 0%

7) Primo is drafted 80%
8) JJ is drafted 50%

9) Pacers move up in the draft 0%

10) Tracy McGrady is acquired 30%
11) Another SG is acquired through trade 70%
12) Erik Dampier is acquired 0%

Added:

13) Either Ron or Al will be traded 100%
14) Both will be traded 60%

if primo is drafted, JJ cant be... and vice versa.so both percentages cannot add up to over 100 rite?

SkipperZ
06-18-2004, 12:33 PM
What are the chances that these will happen? Answer one or all. Or add your own.

1) Ron Artest is traded 30%
2) Al Harringotn is traded 80%
3) Jonathan Bender is traded 40%
4) Fred Jones is traded 50%
5) Jamal Tinsley is traded 10%

6) Reggie Miller Retires 5%

7) Primo is drafted 40%
8) JJ is drafted 40%

9) Pacers move up in the draft 70% (But they may not keep their pick)

10) Tracy McGrady is acquired 50%
11) Another SG is acquired through trade 30%
12) Erik Dampier is acquired 50%

birdman
06-18-2004, 12:37 PM
1) Ron Artest is traded 75%
2) Al Harringotn is traded 80%
3) Jonathan Bender is traded 70%
4) Fred Jones is traded 30%
5) Jamal Tinsley is traded 5%

6) Reggie Miller Retires 10%

7) Primo is drafted 45%
8) JJ is drafted 40%

9) Pacers move up in the draft 25%

10) Tracy McGrady is acquired 45%
11) Another SG is acquired through trade 75%
12) Erik Dampier is acquired 30%

Unclebuck
06-18-2004, 12:57 PM
I am very, very surprised, no make that shocked that so many of you think that Ron, Al and Jon will be traded. When I see %'s like 80% or 100% I think wow

able
06-18-2004, 01:07 PM
UB: to many little things pointing that way, the transcripts of radio interviews, other interviews with Ron and so, the possibilty of JO wanting him gone, it all adds up to a rather gloomy picture that gives a prediction percentage.

It has nothing to do with hope, wants or even opinion, that is the good thing about numbers, they are cool and unforgiven but sound.

I would love to see Ron play on the Pacers next season and 15 more if possible, reality tells me that there is a rather large chance that his tradevalue in combination with internal problems/desires are a deciding factor in Ron leaving.

Not only the TMac idea spins around, but a Bowen/Ginobili for Ron is floating out there as well, frankly the "value" of Ron is skyhigh (for a reason) and IF there are problems with him and JO or management, or they are expected in shorter terms, then now is the time.

In all a clinical number but realistic nonetheless

however sad that makes me.

edit: and NO his signed shirt and shoes will not be for sale :D

indygeezer
06-18-2004, 01:09 PM
) Ron Artest is traded 90%

2) Al Harrington is traded 30%

3) Jonathan Bender is traded 25%

4) Fred Jones is traded 50%

5) Jamal Tinsley is traded 5%

6) Reggie Miller Retires 60%

7) Primo is drafted 90%

8) JJ is drafted 10%

9) Pacers move up in the draft 25%

10) Tracy McGrady is acquired 10%

11) Another SG is acquired through trade 70%

12) Erik Dampier is acquired 50%

smoothie
06-18-2004, 01:10 PM
since i can add my own:

14. JO is traded - 0%



i think i might be right about that :P

indygeezer
06-18-2004, 01:15 PM
His behavior toward the end of the season coupled witht the blowing off of DW/LB while appearing on radio talk shows tells me something is greatly amiss. His trade value may never be higher and as much as I hate to say it, it may be time to strike while the fire is hot.
But not Mc Grady. I don't want our cap numbers hamstrung for years ala the Lakers.

bulletproof
06-18-2004, 01:16 PM
What are the chances that these will happen? Answer one or all. Or add your own.

1) Ron Artest is traded 80%
2) Al Harrington is traded 65%
3) Jonathan Bender is traded 80%
4) Fred Jones is traded 20%
5) Jamal Tinsley is traded 10%

6) Reggie Miller Retires 0%

7) Primo is drafted 80%
8) JJ is drafted 50%

9) Pacers move up in the draft 0%

10) Tracy McGrady is acquired 30%
11) Another SG is acquired through trade 70%
12) Erik Dampier is acquired 0%

Added:

13) Either Ron or Al will be traded 100%
14) Both will be traded 60%

if primo is drafted, JJ cant be... and vice versa.so both percentages cannot add up to over 100 rite?

I'm basing that number more on probability/likelihood. Although, I know most people here think we will acquire an SG. It just depends on who. So #'s 10 & 11 should add up to 100%. Because if we don't get McGrady, in most likelihood, we will acquire someone else.

Spicoli
06-18-2004, 02:08 PM
I have implemented very complex formulas in arriving at my percentages...

1) Ron Artest is traded - 36%

2) Al Harringotn is traded - 71%

3) Jonathan Bender is traded - 42%

4) Fred Jones is traded - 2.6%

5) Jamal Tinsley is traded - 0.76%

6) Reggie Miller Retires - 3.1%

7) Primo is drafted - 49.8%

8) JJ is drafted - 50.2%

9) Pacers move up in the draft - 0.17%

10) Tracy McGrady is acquired - 28.9%

11) Another SG is acquired through trade - 55%

12) Erik Dampier is acquired - 6.9%

13) I drink approximately 11.5 beers this evening. :alcohol: - 100% (It's been a loooooong week)

indygeezer
06-18-2004, 03:33 PM
Oh crap, Spicoli found the site.

Spicoli
06-18-2004, 04:00 PM
Oh crap, Spicoli found the site.


:angel:

indytoad
06-18-2004, 05:22 PM
1) Ron Artest is traded 60%
2) Al Harringotn is traded 75%
3) Jonathan Bender is traded 40%
4) Fred Jones is traded 50%
5) Jamal Tinsley is traded 5%

6) Reggie Miller Retires 1%

7) Primo is drafted 50%
8) JJ is drafted 50%
(the easy way out)

9) Pacers move up in the draft 10%

10) Tracy McGrady is acquired 10%
11) Another SG is acquired through trade 80%
12) Erik Dampier is acquired 5%

IndyToad
Synthesize your life

Suaveness
06-18-2004, 07:56 PM
To be technical, the probability that JJ will be selected is 33.34% Same with PB. Same with neither.